15 West End Gardens, Esher, KT10 8LD

UPRN:100061319759Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: D (56)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,528,000

£1.45M - £1.60MHigh

Estimate

£1.53M

Range

£1.45M – £1.60M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£5,400

£5k - £6k

Monthly

£5,400

Yield

5.18%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 West End Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (31/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

31/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 28

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 18% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +18.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061319759· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.1/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.76; the estimate this rent rides on sits 18% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5400/mo (range 4800-6000)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,434/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
218 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£937,500£1,437,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£5,400/mo

Evidenced range £4,800-£6,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£480/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061319759Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5400/mo (range 4800-6000)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 5400/mo (range 4800-6000)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,528,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£5,400

Gross Yield5.18%

1y Growth-13.7%

3y Growth-5.4%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+1.1%

Last Sold Price£569,950 (2005-07-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT10 8LD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/2169
West End Conservation Area - Trees : #1 - #2. Leylandii Cypress (10% reduction to both the trees as shown in diagram) #3. Prunus species (dead to be removed) #4. Lawson Cypress (diseased and dying needs to be removed) #5. Salix Caprea (dead to be removed #6. Corylus Avellana (20% reduction as shown in diagram) All Hedges and shrubs to be topped, sided and shaped and removal of anything dead or diseased
Pending
2026/2091
Additional two detached houses together with internal access road, car and cycle parking provision, supported by a scheme of landscaping and planting, with principal means of access served off the Esher Road.
Pending
2026/2020
Single-storey rear outbuilding following the demolition of the existing garage.
Approved

View Planning Timeline