3 Horsley Close, Epsom, KT19 8HB

UPRN:100061357928Detached PropertyBeds -Built 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 5mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£670,000

£603k - £738kMedium

Estimate

£670k

Range

£603k – £738k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,000

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,000

Yield

4.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Horsley Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is excellent (93/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

93/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 26Bike 67

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -19.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061357928· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3250)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,300/mo, -43% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
316 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£600,000£920,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£800,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,000/mo

Evidenced range £2,750-£3,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £271,300
Net cash flow: -£623/mo
Cash on cash: -2.8%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061357928Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3250)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£670,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,000

Gross Yield4.50%

1y Growth-10.1%

3y Growth+0.2%

5y Growth+1.3%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2003-12-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2KT19 8HB

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/01096/TPO
G1 - 9 Lime Trees to be crown reduced to previous cutting points which is 2-3m in length and 1-3 inches in diameter due to the encroachment on neighbours houses as well as significant light loss.
Pending
26/01248/REM
Variation of Condition 2 (Approved Plans) of planning permission 25/01098/REM to make alterations to the fenestration, internal layout and external areas with the addition of a small plant room
Pending
26/01247/REM
Variation of Condition 2 (Approved Plans) of planning permission 25/01214/REM to make alterations to the fenestration, internal layout and external areas with the addition of a small plant room
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership56.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2003-12-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,006

Population Density6,456 /km²

Owner Occupied68%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 66%65+ 17%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Kingswood House School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Epsom Primary and Nursery School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Joseph's Catholic Primary School
0.4 mi
Outstanding
Stamford Green Primary School and Nursery
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

7 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

23 Horsley Close
-
£575k
-
13 Horsley Close
-
£515k
-
33 Horsley Close
-
£606k
-
41 Horsley Close
-
£505k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN