31 Wellesley Close, Ash Vale, Aldershot, GU12 5SW

UPRN:100061377804Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: E (49)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

31 Wellesley Close, Ash Vale, Aldershot, GU12 5SW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£178,000

£169k - £187kHigh

Estimate

£178k

Range

£169k – £187k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£800 - £950

Monthly

£850

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

31 Wellesley Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (41/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

41/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 49

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -10.4%, £/sqft -10.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061377804· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.5%· as of 5 Nov 2026
Rental economics6.8/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -243/mo, -29% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 83 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
312 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£127,500£195,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£170,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £800-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £53,200
Net cash flow: £15/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061377804Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.5%Valuation edge · as of 5 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£178,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth+3.2%

3y Growth+0.4%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£173,500 (2025-04-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GU12 5SW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00579/MISC28
Notification under the electronic communications code regulations 2003 to utilise permitted development rights for equipment upgrade .Telecommunications Mast upgrade (same project as 26/00303/PREAPP )
Pending
26/T/00266
T1, T2 & T3 (Beech): Crown reduce back to near previous pruning points, retaining a finished height of approximately 18m and a crown spread of approximately 9m. Crown lift to approximately 7?8m above ground level. Works are to be carried out to maintain the trees at a suitable size and scale for their location, while retaining a balanced crown form (TPO P1/201/229)
Pending
26/P/01267
Advertisement Consent for installation of six non-illuminated signs within car park for Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) System.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership62.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining117 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2025-04-25
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

3 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,985

Population Density-

Owner Occupied65%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 67%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Holly Lodge Primary Academy
0.5 mi
Inspected as Holly Lodge Primary School (URN 125046) on 21 Mar 2013
South Farnborough Infant School
0.7 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Marlborough Infant School
0.8 mi
Good
St Mark's Church of England Primary School
0.8 mi
Inspected as St Mark's Church of England Aided Primary School (URN 116389) on 21 May 2024

7 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

44 Wellesley Close
-
£310k
-
4 Wellesley Close
-
£176k
-
3 Wellesley Close
-
£275k
-
31 Wellesley Close
-
£174k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN