55 Ellison Way, Tongham, Farnham, GU10 1AY

UPRN:100061378952End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

55 Ellison Way, Tongham, Farnham, GU10 1AY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£397,000

£378k - £417kHigh

Estimate

£397k

Range

£378k – £417k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

4.32%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

55 Ellison Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (46/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

46/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -25.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -33.7%, £/sqft -33.5%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061378952· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.3%· as of 3 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -916/mo, -51% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
222 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£441/mo
Cash on cash: -3.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.07 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061378952Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.3%Valuation edge · as of 3 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£397,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield4.32%

1y Growth+1.9%

3y Growth-1.6%

5y Growth-1.0%

10y Growth+1.3%

Last Sold Price£370,000 (2023-11-24)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1GU10 1AY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/P/01388
Erection of dwellinghouse with associated parking, bin and cycle storage on land to rear
Pending
26/S/00007
Request for an EIA Screening Opinion under Regulation 6 of the Town & Country Planning (Environmental Impact Assessment) Regulations 2017 (as amended).
Pending
26/CON/00047
Details of cycle parking submitted pursuant to Condition 19 of planning permission GU24/CON/00010 dated 30 October 2024 (this application is determined by Surrey County Council under their ref SCCRef-2026-0168)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2023-11-24
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,985

Population Density3,628 /km²

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 65%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Paul's CofE Primary School & Nursery
0.4 mi
Good
Ash Manor School
0.5 mi
Good
Park Primary School
0.8 mi
-
Walsh CofE Infant School
0.8 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

19 Ellison Way
-
£205k
-
1 Ellison Way
-
£250k
-
16 Ellison Way
-
£260k
-
8 Ellison Way
-
£250k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN