15 St Johns Avenue, Goring-by-Sea, Worthing, BN12 4HU

UPRN:100061904662Bungalow Property2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

15 St Johns Avenue, Goring-by-Sea, Worthing, BN12 4HU

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£620,000

£589k - £651kHigh

Estimate

£620k

Range

£589k – £651k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,350

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,350

Yield

4.55%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 St Johns Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (52/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

52/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 22Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061904662· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2550)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,018/mo, -43% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 210 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
257 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£465,000£713,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£620,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,350/mo

Evidenced range £2,100-£2,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £208,300
Net cash flow: -£466/mo
Cash on cash: -2.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.12 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061904662Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2550)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 210 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£620,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,350

Gross Yield4.55%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.3%

5y Growth-1.0%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£410,000 (2016-02-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BN12 4HU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

AWDM/1271/26
Application for Certificate of Lawfulness for conversion of integral garage to a habitable room
Pending
AWDM/1204/26
Application for consent under Worthing Tree Preservation Order No.20 of 1994 (Group G3) to reduce the radial crown spread of 5 x Sycamores to the west and back from property and garden by a maximum of 2m. To lift crown of one Sycamore to 6m from over road.
Pending
AWDM/1199/26
Application for Listed Building Consent for proposed single-storey extension to East side; GRP door hood/canopy to existing door entrance on North elevation; new first-floor window to East elevation; plus external and internal alterations associated with restoration and repair works to dwelling. External works to include repairs to existing windows, removal of existing vent in East elevation and insertion of replacement flue through roof, replacement of existing gutters and downpipes in cast iron; proposed 'Helibar' repair work to cracks in existing elevations; underpinning of southeast corner of dwelling. Internal works to include relocation of kitchen, proposed new heating system and extension of under-floor heating, repairs/making good to hall floor; formation of WC in 2nd floor bedroom; formation of 3no roof access hatches on 2nd Floor, installation of secondary glazing throughout, replacement ceiling roses.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2016-02-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,823

Population Density-

Owner Occupied87%

Age Distribution

0-15 11%16-64 46%65+ 43%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Courtlands Independent Special School
0.3 mi
Good
Goring-By-Sea CofE (Aided) Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
West Park CofE Primary (Controlled) School
0.4 mi
-
St Oscar Romero Catholic School
0.8 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

14 St Johns Avenue
-
£675k
-
18 St Johns Avenue
-
£400k
-
7 St Johns Avenue
-
£700k
-
1 St Johns Avenue
-
£315k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN