Flat 1, Little Croft, 77 Northlands Road, Southampton, SO15 2LP

UPRN:100062036174Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (49)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 1, Little Croft, 77 Northlands Road, Southampton, SO15 2LP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£228,000

£217k - £240kHigh

Estimate

£228k

Range

£217k – £240k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

6.55%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (63/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

63/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 23Bike 66

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -6.3%, £/sqft -6.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100062036174· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.3%· as of 8 Nov 2026
Rental economics11.7/40
gross yield 6.5%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -178/mo, -15% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 34 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
452 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£165,000£253,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£220,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £69,200
Net cash flow: £88/mo
Cash on cash: 1.5%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.62 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100062036174Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.3%Valuation edge · as of 8 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£228,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield6.55%

1y Growth-1.8%

3y Growth+5.0%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price£217,000 (2024-02-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SO15 2LP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01244/ELDC
Application for a lawful development certificate for the existing use as a house in multiple occupation (HMO, Class C4)
Pending
26/01249/DIS
Application for approval of details reserved by conditions 3 (Details of building materials to be used), 4 (Ecological Mitigation Statement), 5 (Landscaping, lighting & means of enclosure detailed plan), 6 (Extract Ventilation - Control of Odour), 7 (Extract Ventilation - Control of Noise) of permission 26/00396/FUL for a single storey detached building for use as a bakery
Pending
26/01241/FUL
Roof alterations including side and rear dormer windows to create additional accommodation.
Pending

View Planning Timeline