Lynch Hill Cottage, Waterbrook Road, Alton, GU34 2QH

UPRN:100062345472Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: G (5)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Lynch Hill Cottage, Waterbrook Road, Alton, GU34 2QH

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£493,000

£469k - £518kHigh

Estimate

£493k

Range

£469k – £518k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

4.24%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Lynch Hill Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (13/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

13/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 28

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 27 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH), sold-comps +16.0%, £/sqft +16.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100062345472· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.3%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.2%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 27 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -932/mo, -53% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 27 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 27 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
332 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£371,000£569,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£495,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £164,550
Net cash flow: -£459/mo
Cash on cash: -3.3%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.05 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100062345472Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.3%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 27 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 27 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£493,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield4.24%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.0%

5y Growth+0.7%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£249,000 (2003-05-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GU34 2QH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

EHDC-26-0630-CMA
Retention of Waste Recycling Centre for construction & demolition waste to include a lightweight structure, landscaped bund, parking and associated plant and machinery [Section 73 application for variation of conditions 2 (Site Layout and Buffer Zone), 11 (Dust and Noise Management Plan), 14 (Acoustic fencing and dust netting), 26 (Approved Plans) of 51471/009
Pending
EHDC-26-0629-CMA
Change of use (with associated building modifications) from existing builders storage depot to a waste recycling facility to accept and process commercial and industrial waste (including the use of a waste picking station and trommel) on industrial land at the former sewage works off Waterbrook Road, Alton. [Section 73A application for variation of conditions] at Unit 7, Waterbrook Estate, Waterbrook Road, Alton, GU34 2UD
Pending
EHDC-26-0489-CONVR
Section 73 application to vary condition 9 and 10 (Layout and External Alterations) of 29514/004 for residential development of flats, maisonettes and three terrace dwellings. Development commenced on 01/05/2012 and remains incomplete.
Pending

View Planning Timeline