5 Willow Drive, Marchwood, Southampton, SO40 4JY

UPRN:100062528362Mid Terrace House2 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

5 Willow Drive, Marchwood, Southampton, SO40 4JY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£264,000

£251k - £277kHigh

Estimate

£264k

Range

£251k – £277k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

5.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

5 Willow Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (6/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

6/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 11Bike 26

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +8.1% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100062528362· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.7/40
gross yield 5.7%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -308/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
402 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£182,000£279,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£242,500

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £76,400
Net cash flow: -£22/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.41 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100062528362Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£264,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield5.69%

1y Growth+94.7%

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£91,500 (2001-11-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SO40 4JY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00913DOC
Application to discharge conditions 5 and 7 of planning permission 25/00881LBC for repairs to walls; construction of land drain
Pending
26/10627
Single-storey rear extension (Lawful Development Certificate that permission is not required for proposal)
Conditions
26/10622
Single-storey Infill extension
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2001-11-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,344

Population Density582 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 61%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Marchwood Church of England Infant School
0.2 mi
Good
Marchwood Junior School
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Bower Lodge School
1.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Dibden Park School
1.3 mi
Inspected by ISI

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 Willow Drive
-
£470k
-
25 Willow Drive
-
£543k
-
11 Willow Drive
-
£260k
-
9 Willow Drive
-
£235k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN