Paddock View, 2 Ferry Lane, North Kyme, Lincoln, LN4 4DQ

UPRN:10006506111Detached Bungalow2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: E (40)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Paddock View, 2 Ferry Lane, North Kyme, Lincoln, LN4 4DQ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£252,000

£227k - £277kMedium

Estimate

£252k

Range

£227k – £277k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

2.05%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Paddock View earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 51/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

51/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 34

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -132.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10006506111· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.1%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1100)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,863/mo, -186% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 496 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
441 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£439,000£673,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£585,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £196,050
Net cash flow: -£1,282/mo
Cash on cash: -7.8%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.51 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10006506111Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1100)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 496 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£252,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield2.05%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price£200,000 (2021-02-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN4 4DQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0530/PNAGR
Erection of open sided steel framed barn
Approved
24/1416/FUL
Formation of new access to land adjacent to Willow Farm (part retrospective)
Approved
24/1479/PNMAT
Application for a non-material amendment (changes to appearance and reduction in scale) re planning permission 22/1622/HOUS - Erection of rear and side extensions and erection of annexe to replace existing outbuilding (Amended Scheme).
Approved

View Planning Timeline