23 Royal Oak Lane, Aubourn, Lincoln, LN5 9DT

UPRN:10006507752Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

23 Royal Oak Lane, Aubourn, Lincoln, LN5 9DT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£300,000

£285k - £315kHigh

Estimate

£300k

Range

£285k – £315k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

4.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

23 Royal Oak Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (17/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

17/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 4Bike 21

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (HIGH), sold-comps -2.7%, £/sqft -2.9%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10006507752· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.9%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1300)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -550/mo, -48% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 258 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
423 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: -£216/mo
Cash on cash: -2.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.14 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10006507752Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.9%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1300)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 258 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£300,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield4.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.3%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN5 9DT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/1042/PNMAT
Application for a non-material amendment (replace existing window with door) following grant of planning permission 25/0655/HOUS - Conversion of existing outbuilding to flexible work space with external alterations to include replacement windows/doors/roof and installation of an air source heat pump
Approved
26/0942/LBC
Installation of a new door in position of existing window on east elevation of the Barracks Building
Approved
26/0572/DISCON
Application to discharge conditions 1 (materials) and 2 (windows and doors) attached to planning permission 26/0056/VARCON - Application to vary condition 2 (materials), 3 (window and door details), 4 (front boundary wall), 6 (vehicular access), 10 (bird nesting season) and 13 (approved plans) of planning permission N/05/1063/08 - Change of use and conversion of two redundant barns and demolition of redundant farm buildings for residential development, minor alterations, extensions and the provision of two new vehicular accesses
Approved

View Planning Timeline