30 Model Village, Long Itchington, Southam, CV47 9RB

UPRN:100070211507Mid Terrace House2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

30 Model Village, Long Itchington, Southam, CV47 9RB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£267,000

£253k - £280kHigh

Estimate

£267k

Range

£253k – £280k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£850 - £1k

Monthly

£950

Yield

3.51%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

30 Model Village earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (17/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

17/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 41

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -21.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -20.8%, £/sqft -20.7%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100070211507· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 16.8%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.5%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1050)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -803/mo, -85% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 67 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
271 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£244,000£374,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£325,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £850-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £105,050
Net cash flow: -£439/mo
Cash on cash: -5.0%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.87 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100070211507Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 16.8%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1050)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 67 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£267,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield3.51%

1y Growth-17.3%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+2.0%

Last Sold Price£230,000 (2022-12-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2CV47 9RB

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/02502/FUL
Proposed rear single-storey flat roof extension and internal alterations
Pending
26/01992/TREE
T1 & 2 sycamore (marked red on map) reduced by 2.5 metres back to previous points. T3 - yew - reduce in height by 2.5 metres as encroaching on neighbouring property (marked blue on map) T4- self set ash around 7 metres tall - fell (marked yellow on map)
Conditions
26/00250/LDP
Erection of single storey timber clad outbuilding extending from existing garage in rear garden
Rejected

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership78.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-12-14
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

11 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,847

Population Density228 /km²

Owner Occupied68%

Age Distribution

0-15 24%16-64 60%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Long Itchington CofE Academy
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Southam College
1.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Southam St James CofE Academy
1.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Southam Primary School
1.3 mi
Good

7 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

17 The Model Village
-
£252k
-
51 The Model Village
-
£242k
-
41 The Model Village
-
£355k
-
19 The Model Village
-
£230k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN