The Orchard, Burdenshott Road, Worplesdon, Guildford, GU3 3RN

UPRN:10007044779Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (51)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Orchard, Burdenshott Road, Worplesdon, Guildford, GU3 3RN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£958,000

£910k - £1.01MHigh

Estimate

£958k

Range

£910k – £1.01M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,550

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,550

Yield

3.87%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Orchard earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 61/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (11/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

61/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

11/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 39Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -14.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10007044779· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.9%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3550/mo (range 3200-3950)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,161/mo, -61% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
103 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£825,000£1,265,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,100,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,550/mo

Evidenced range £3,200-£3,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £385,050
Net cash flow: -£1,255/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.96 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10007044779Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3550/mo (range 3200-3950)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3550/mo (range 3200-3950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£958,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,550

Gross Yield3.87%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.6%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price£595,000 (2006-10-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

6GU3 3RN

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/P/01153
Certificate of Lawfulness for existing development to establish whether planning permission 25/P/01706 was implemented on 4th June 2026 prior to its expire date on 20th June 2026.
Pending
26/P/01022
Change of use of the land from agricultural to mixed agricultural and equestrian use, together with the erection of a covered arena with solar panels, an open (non-covered) arena, stables, and walking and lunge pens, following the removal of 6 existing buildings, with associated landscaping and arboricultural planting.
Pending
26/P/00886
Erection of a detached garage block with a first-floor, ancillary to the main dwelling-house.
Rejected

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2006-10-05
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,985

Population Density385 /km²

Owner Occupied77%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 62%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Freemantles School
1.2 mi
OutstandingConcerns
Guildford Nursery School
1.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Northmead Junior School
1.5 mi
Good
Pond Meadow School
1.5 mi
Outstanding

1 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Hockley Lands Burdenshott Road
-
£8.00M
-
The Sidings Burdenshott Road
-
£475k
-
Hockley Lands Burdenshott Road
-
£10.00M
-
Chestnut Cottage Burdenshott Road
-
£625k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN