45 Swinford Road, Birmingham, B29 5SH

UPRN:100070530706End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£249,000

£236k - £261kHigh

Estimate

£249k

Range

£236k – £261k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

7.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

45 Swinford Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (73/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

73/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 40Bike 59

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100070530706· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics17.6/40
gross yield 7.2%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1450-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -82/mo, -5% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 177 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
233 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: £195/mo
Cash on cash: 3.0%
Score at this price: 32

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100070530706Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1450-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1450-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 177 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£249,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield7.20%

1y Growth+12.8%

3y Growth-0.9%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£131,000 (2016-12-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0B29 5SH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/06598/PA
Erection of 6 metre deep single storey rear extension. Maximum height 3 metres, eaves height 3 metres
Pending
2026/06162/PA
Removal of the existing kitchen extract system to the single-storey roof and enlargement alteration to the other extraction system in the courtyard with associated amendments
Pending
2026/05650/PA
Application to determine the details for condition number 3 (external materials) attached to approval 2026/01208/PA
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2016-12-02
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

10 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,180

Population Density-

Owner Occupied53%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 62%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Paganel Primary School
0.2 mi
Inspected as Paganel Primary School (URN 134281) on 10 Mar 2020
Jervoise School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Weoley Castle Nursery School
0.6 mi
Outstanding
St Peters CofE Primary School
0.6 mi
Good

4 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

123 Swinford Road
-
£174k
-
67 Swinford Road
-
£232k
-
47 Swinford Road
-
£220k
-
137 Swinford Road
-
£220k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN