21 Welford Road, Shirley, Solihull, B90 3HX

UPRN:100071017397Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

21 Welford Road, Shirley, Solihull, B90 3HX

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£431,000

£388k - £474kMedium

Estimate

£431k

Range

£388k – £474k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

4.98%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21 Welford Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (78/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

78/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 48Bike 45

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100071017397· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -610/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
576 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£307,500£471,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£410,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,550-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £134,800
Net cash flow: -£207/mo
Cash on cash: -1.8%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.23 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100071017397Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£431,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield4.98%

1y Growth+22.0%

3y Growth+1.5%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2008-01-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

4B90 3HX

Approval Rate

50%12mo

Development

low

PL/2026/01939/PNH
Prior notification for a ground floor rear extension to replace existing conservatory measuring 3.3m beyond the original rear wall, at a maximum height of 3.4m, and measuring 2.6m at the eaves.
Pending
PL/2026/01881/MINFHO
Single storey front and rear extension. Existing single storey side roof to be replaced and raised to match level with the single storey front and rear extension.
Pending
PL/2026/01882/CLOPUD
Certificate of lawful development for proposed loft conversion with changing the existing hipped roof into a gable ended roof. Loft rear facing flat roof dormer. Velux into front facing roof.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership61.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2008-01-18
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,672

Population Density5,895 /km²

Owner Occupied89%

Age Distribution

0-15 22%16-64 62%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Haslucks Green School
0.3 mi
Inspected as Haslucks Green School (URN 104046) on 3 Jul 2024
Tudor Grange Primary Academy, St James
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Streetsbrook Infant and Early Years Academy
0.4 mi
Good
Kingswood School
0.5 mi
Good

4 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

18 Welford Road
-
£375k
-
1 Welford Road
-
£426k
-
57 Welford Road
-
£500k
-
16 Welford Road
-
£465k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN