44 The Bellerby Apartments, Leapale Lane, Guildford, GU1 4PT

UPRN:10007104950Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

44 The Bellerby Apartments, Leapale Lane, Guildford, GU1 4PT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£496,000

£472k - £521kHigh

Estimate

£496k

Range

£472k – £521k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

5.28%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

44 The Bellerby Apartments earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 73/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (98/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

73/ 100

High

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

98/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 49Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -31.9%, £/sqft -32.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10007104950· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.3%· as of 2 Nov 2026
Rental economics2/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -622/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 333 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
352 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£164/mo
Cash on cash: -1.2%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10007104950Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.3%Valuation edge · as of 2 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£496,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield5.28%

1y Growth-7.9%

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+0.9%

Last Sold Price£630,000 (2024-09-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GU1 4PT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/P/01431
Variation of Conditions 2 (Approved Plans) and 3 (Materials) of Planning Application ref: 24/P/00157 dated 05/03/2024 (Proposed re-instatement of a garage, removal of front canopy, new door canopy, remodelling of roof to form a new pitch, two side rooflights and changes to fenestration). Variation to consist of changes to roof design of main roof and conservatory roof and changes to fenestration
Pending
26/P/01426
Lawful Development Certificate for proposed use for formation of habitable room in roofspace with rear dormer and front rooflight.
Pending
26/D/00159/5
Refer to covering letter
Pending

View Planning Timeline