18 Arden Court, 416 Kingsbury Road, Erdington, Birmingham, B24 9NQ

UPRN:100071284657Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

18 Arden Court, 416 Kingsbury Road, Erdington, Birmingham, B24 9NQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£100,000

£95k - £105kHigh

Estimate

£100k

Range

£95k – £105k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£450

£400 - £500

Monthly

£450

Yield

5.68%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

18 Arden Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 73/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (62/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

73/ 100

High

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

62/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 39Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100071284657· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.1/40
gross yield 5.7%; range width penalty ×0.76
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 450/mo (range 400-500)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -353/mo, -78% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£71,000£109,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£95,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£450/mo

Evidenced range £400-£500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £29,800
Net cash flow: -£9/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.40 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100071284657Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 450/mo (range 400-500)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 450/mo (range 400-500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£100,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£450

Gross Yield5.68%

1y Growth+0.0%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price£105,000 (2025-03-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0B24 9NQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/06497/PA
Application to determine if prior approval is required for a proposed change of use of existing first and second floor offices (Use Class E) to 2 no. residential flats (Use Class C3)
Pending
2026/06057/PA
Erection of single storey outbuilding to rear.
Pending
2026/05867/PA
Erection of 2 storey side and rear extension to existing property.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2025-03-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,180

Population Density-

Owner Occupied74%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 66%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Saint Barnabas Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Birches Green Primary School
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Queensbury School
0.3 mi
Good
Erdington Academy
0.3 mi
Good

0 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

424 Kingsbury Road
-
£240k
-
Arden Court, 416 Kingsbury Road
-
£100k
-
Arden Court, 416 Kingsbury Road
-
£105k
-
David Court, 414 Kingsbury Road
-
£119k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN