Flat C the Coach House, Northerwood House, Swan Green, Emery Down, Lyndhurst, SO43 7DT

UPRN:10007447647Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built before 1900

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (55)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat C the Coach House, Northerwood House, Swan Green, Emery Down, Lyndhurst, SO43 7DT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£375,000

£356k - £394kHigh

Estimate

£375k

Range

£356k – £394k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat C the Coach House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (23/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

23/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 21Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -13.3% (HIGH), sold-comps -15.8%, £/sqft -15.8%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10007447647· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.5%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1800)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -709/mo, -42% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 93 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
49 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£319,000£488,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£425,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,550-£1,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £140,050
Net cash flow: -£257/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10007447647Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.5%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1800)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 93 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£375,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.5%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£315,000 (2017-04-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

4SO43 7DT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01221TPO
Remove Deadwood 2 x Douglas Fir trees (G5 on the plan - exempt works included for information only) Prune 1 x Beech tree (G4 on the plan) (Trees are part of TPO 0122/02)
Pending
26/01203CONS
Prune 3 x Sycamore trees (T1, T2 & T3 on the plan)
Pending
26/01199EXW
Prune trees to clear access and parking
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership65.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining99 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2017-04-28
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,344

Population Density158 /km²

Owner Occupied60%

Age Distribution

0-15 12%16-64 56%65+ 32%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Michael and All Angels CofE Infant School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
New Forest Small School Ltd
1.1 mi
Inspected by ISI
Clay Hill School
1.2 mi
Good
Coxlease School
1.3 mi
Good

1 of 7 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Northerwood House Swan Green
-
£810k
-
East Penthouse Swan Green
-
£515k
-
Northerwood House Swan Green
-
£550k
-
Northerwood House Swan Green
-
£1.25M
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN