24 Simpson Close, Leagrave, Luton, LU4 9TP

UPRN:100080174201Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

24 Simpson Close, Leagrave, Luton, LU4 9TP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£150,000

£142k - £157kHigh

Estimate

£150k

Range

£142k – £157k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£700 - £800

Monthly

£750

Yield

6.43%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

24 Simpson Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (66/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

66/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +6.7% (HIGH), sold-comps +4.8%, £/sqft +4.9%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080174201· as of 10 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 17.4%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics10.7/40
gross yield 6.4%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -169/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 69 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
271 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£105,000£161,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£140,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £700-£800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £43,600
Net cash flow: £47/mo
Cash on cash: 1.3%
Score at this price: 28

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.59 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080174201Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 17.4%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£150,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield6.43%

1y Growth-7.8%

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+3.2%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£81,000 (2003-06-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseHigh

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LU4 9TP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01123/FULHH
Erection of two storey side and single storey rear extensions.
Pending
26/01101/PARES
Request for a determination as to whether prior approval is required under Part 1 Class A of the Town and Country Planning (General Permitted Development) Order 2015 - Single storey rear extension. Depth 6m, Maximum height of extension 3m, Height to eaves 3m.
Pending
26/01089/FULHH
Erection of a single storey front/side and rear extension to facilitate a garage conversion and changes to fenestration
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2003-06-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£28,741

Population Density4,447 /km²

Owner Occupied69%

Age Distribution

0-15 25%16-64 60%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Challney High School for Boys
0.1 mi
Outstanding
Challney High School for Girls
0.4 mi
Outstanding
Downside Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as Downside Junior School (URN 109566) on 19 Nov 2008
Al Hikmah Boys School
0.5 mi
Good

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

53 Simpson Close
-
£105k
-
68 Simpson Close
-
£279k
-
56 Simpson Close
-
£259k
-
35 Simpson Close
-
£158k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN