152 North Orbital Road, Denham, Uxbridge, UB9 5HA

UPRN:100080497367Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

152 North Orbital Road, Denham, Uxbridge, UB9 5HA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£298,000

£283k - £313kHigh

Estimate

£298k

Range

£283k – £313k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,400

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,400

Yield

5.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

152 North Orbital Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (48/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

33/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

48/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 26

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.3%, £/sqft -8.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080497367· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 6.2%· as of 3 Nov 2026
Rental economics4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1300-1550)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -429/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 41 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
129 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,400/mo

Evidenced range £1,300-£1,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: -£43/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.38 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080497367Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 6.2%Valuation edge · as of 3 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1300-1550)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1400/mo (range 1300-1550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 41 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£298,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,400

Gross Yield5.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£240,900 (2016-03-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB9 5HA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08606/CONDA
Application for approval of details subject to informative 4 (biodiversity gain plan) of planning approval PL/25/3683/FA
Pending
PL/26/07918/SA
Certificate of Lawfulness for proposed new access by dropping kerbs
Pending
PL/26/07285/TP
Monolith 1x Oak - reason - oak tree is in a state of decay and a significant amount of dead wood is overhanging the garden house
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership69.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2016-03-14
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density1,988 /km²

Owner Occupied49%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 57%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Denham Green E-ACT Primary Academy
0.2 mi
Good
Denham Village School
1.0 mi
Good
Harefield Infant and Junior School
1.6 mi
Good
Harefield School
2.0 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

4 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

136 North Orbital Road
-
£287k
-
180 North Orbital Road
-
£290k
-
144 North Orbital Road
-
£250k
-
118 North Orbital Road
-
£280k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN