15 Rectory Close, Essendon, Hatfield, AL9 6HG

UPRN:100080964609End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

15 Rectory Close, Essendon, Hatfield, AL9 6HG

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£618,000

£556k - £680kMedium

Estimate

£618k

Range

£556k – £680k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,300

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,300

Yield

4.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Rectory Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 55/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (14/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

55/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

23/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

14/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 4Bike 16

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.2% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080964609· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.2%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2500)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,181/mo, -51% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
90 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£487,500£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£649,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,300/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,783
Net cash flow: -£601/mo
Cash on cash: -3.3%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.05 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100080964609Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2500)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£618,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,300

Gross Yield4.25%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.6%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£127,500 (1998-04-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0AL9 6HG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

6/2026/1955/TC
Fell 1 x Sycamore tree affected by sooty bark disease and leaning towards garage. Remove upper branches of 1 x dead Oak tree. Fell 1 x dead Fir/Pine tree
Pending
6/2026/1892/TPO
To fell a dangerous tree diagnosed with Sycamore Anthracnose leaning towards garage (TPO3 W4)
Approved
6/2026/1727/TC
Fell Birch Tree (5 day notice)
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change1998-04-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

22 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,805

Population Density90 /km²

Owner Occupied61%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 61%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Essendon CofE (VC) Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
James Marks Academy
1.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Commonswood Primary & Nursery School
1.7 mi
GoodImproving
Hertingfordbury Cowper Primary School
2.1 mi
-

2 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

9 Rectory Close
-
£230k
-
25 Rectory Close
-
£500k
-
5 Rectory Close
-
£335k
-
6 Rectory Close
-
£430k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN