Dropshort Cottage, Tring Road, Northchurch, Berkhamsted, HP4 3SE

UPRN:100081111592Detached House2 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (58)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Dropshort Cottage, Tring Road, Northchurch, Berkhamsted, HP4 3SE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£595,000

£565k - £624kHigh

Estimate

£595k

Range

£565k – £624k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

3.61%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Dropshort Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (45/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

45/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 11Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +5.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +11.4%, £/sqft +11.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100081111592· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.2%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.6%; range width penalty ×0.67
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1500-1950)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,264/mo, -74% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
242 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£424,000£650,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£565,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £189,050
Net cash flow: -£730/mo
Cash on cash: -4.6%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.89 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100081111592Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.2%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1500-1950)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1500-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£595,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield3.61%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£421,000 (2016-12-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HP4 3SE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02423/FHA
Single storey rear extension, first floor side extension and loft conversion with front and rear dormers
Pending
26/02415/ROC
Variation of Condition 3 (Approved Plans) attached to planning permission 26/01793/FHA
Pending
26/02387/TEL
The proposed upgrade of an existing telecommunications base station comprising the removal of the existing 18 metre high tree mast and installation of a 23 metre high monopole with 6 no. antennas and 1 no. GPS module, and ancillary development thereto.
Pending

View Planning Timeline