7 Willow Court, Willowholme Road, Willowholme, Carlisle, CA2 5SQ

UPRN:10008697165Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

7 Willow Court, Willowholme Road, Willowholme, Carlisle, CA2 5SQ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£87,000

£83k - £92kHigh

Estimate

£87k

Range

£83k – £92k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£600

£550 - £600

Monthly

£600

Yield

9.86%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

7 Willow Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 58/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is good (82/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

58/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

82/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 40Bike 50

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +16.1% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10008697165· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics38.9/40
gross yield 9.9%; range width penalty ×1.00; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 600/mo (range 550-600)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -9/mo, -2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
496 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£54,500£84,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£72,995

At the asking price

Monthly rent£600/mo

Evidenced range £550-£600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £23,199
Net cash flow: £169/mo
Cash on cash: 8.7%
Score at this price: 54

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.44 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10008697165Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 600/mo (range 550-600)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 600/mo (range 550-600)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£87,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£600

Gross Yield9.86%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£56,000 (2009-10-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CA2 5SQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0603
Change Of Use From Sui Generis To Use Class E
Pending
26/0604
Display Of 1no. Internally Illuminated Fascia Sign
Pending
26/0596
Construction & Operation Of A Micro Energy Storage Project
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining103 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2009-10-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,840

Population Density512 /km²

Owner Occupied36%

Age Distribution

0-15 9%16-64 76%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Caldew Lea School
0.3 mi
Good
University of Cumbria
0.3 mi
-
St Bede's Catholic Primary School
0.6 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Progress Schools - Carlisle
0.7 mi
Good

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Willow Court Willow Holme Road
-
£80k
-
Willow Court Willow Holme Road
-
£73k
-
Willow Court Willow Holme Road
-
£64k
-
Willow Court Willow Holme Road
-
£38k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN