12 The Spinney, Billericay, CM12 0AU

UPRN:100090281000Detached House6 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: E (53)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,231,000

£1.17M - £1.29MHigh

Estimate

£1.23M

Range

£1.17M – £1.29M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,950

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,950

Yield

3.79%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 The Spinney earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (54/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

41/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

54/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 35

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 7 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100090281000· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.8%; range width penalty ×0.69
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3950/mo (range 3450-4450)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 7 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,500/mo, -63% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 7 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 256 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 7 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
253 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£937,500£1,437,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,950/mo

Evidenced range £3,450-£4,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£1,484/mo
Cash on cash: -4.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.94 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100090281000Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3950/mo (range 3450-4450)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 7 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 7 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 7 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3950/mo (range 3450-4450)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,231,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,950

Gross Yield3.79%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+0.2%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£325,000 (1999-03-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CM12 0AU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01200/TPOBAS
TPO/10/05 - 2x ash and 1x oak. - Cut back branches to give approximately 3m clearance away from retirement flats, approximately 1.5m reduction on trees.
Pending
26/01199/FULL
Replacement of an existing external staircase with a new galvanised steel staircase, including associated landings, handrails and balustrades.
Pending
26/01198/FULL
Amended application to previously approved application 26/00953/FULL - Proposed first floor extension to rear, alteration to fenestration, removal of chimney sttacks and oak framed storm porch to front.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change1999-03-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,133

Population Density2,590 /km²

Owner Occupied78%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 56%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St John's School
0.1 mi
Inspected by ISI
Buttsbury Primary School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Mayflower High School
0.5 mi
Report card2025
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Brightside Primary School
0.7 mi
-

2 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 The Spinney
-
£920k
-
1 The Spinney
-
£265k
-
2 The Spinney
-
£975k
-
6 The Spinney
-
£1.10M
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN