12 Coltsfoot Court, Grays, RM17 6TP

UPRN:100090721470Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£423,000

£402k - £444kHigh

Estimate

£423k

Range

£402k – £444k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,000

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,000

Yield

5.65%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 Coltsfoot Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (49/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

73/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

49/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 60

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.7%, £/sqft -8.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100090721470· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.6%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics4.7/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2000/mo (range 1850-2150)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -453/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 86 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
257 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£319,000£488,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£425,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,000/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £140,050
Net cash flow: -£50/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100090721470Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.6%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2000/mo (range 1850-2150)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2000/mo (range 1850-2150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 86 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£423,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,000

Gross Yield5.65%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.3%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£305,000 (2018-07-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0RM17 6TP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01266/HHA
Partial removal of rear wall to install glazed bi-fold doors
Pending
26/01241/HHA
Single storey rear and side extensions.
Pending
26/01226/CONDC
Application for the approval of details reserved by condition no. 4 (Flood Warning and Evacuation Plan) & 6 (Cycle Storage) of planning permission ref. 26/00270/FUL (Change of use from a single dwelling house (use class C3) to a small children's residential home (use class C2) providing care and accommodation for a maximum of two young people with 24 hour staff support. No external or internal alterations are proposed)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2018-07-31
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,407

Population Density632 /km²

Owner Occupied49%

Age Distribution

0-15 24%16-64 66%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Thameside Primary School
0.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Quarry Hill Academy
0.7 mi
Outstanding
Grays Convent High School
0.7 mi
Good
The Light Christian School
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

10 Coltsfoot Court
-
£400k
-
13 Coltsfoot Court
-
£390k
-
15 Coltsfoot Court
-
£390k
-
5 Coltsfoot Court
-
£325k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN