Data freshness:●Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed 5d ago (2026-11-03T04:00:05.311355+00:00)●Planning· 4mo agoPlanning: stale, refreshed 4mo ago (2026-07-10T08:11:25.156492+00:00)●EPC· 6mo agoEPC: stale, refreshed 6mo ago (2026-05-20T10:58:39.129138+00:00)●Risk· 5mo agoRisk: stale, refreshed 5mo ago (2026-06-18T00:00:00+00:00)●Connectivity· 1mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-03T06:43:10.905825+00:00)●Schools· 1mo agoSchools: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-06T08:24:30.427161+00:00)●Amenities· 2mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 2mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)●Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
HP Score
75
/ 100
Strong
Verdict
5 days ago
Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors
Evidence
20 of 21 sources
Sale Estimate
£108,000
£87k - £130kLow
Estimate
£108k
Range
£87k – £130k
Rent Estimate (pcm)
£500
£450 - £550
Monthly
£500
Yield
6.32%
Verdict
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
39 Ashmere Grove earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (73/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.
Erection of first-floor dormer roof extension to side elevation.
Pending
26/00812/FUL
Replacement of existing windows at first- and second-floor level of flat with uPVC fire escape windows.
Pending
26/00809/FUL
Retention of single-storey rear extension, first-floor side extension and front porch as built (variation from that approved under planning permission IP/24/00012/FUL), single-storey side lean-to (south side), extended timber store and poultry house (north side), and replacement roof covering in artificial slate (retrospective application).
No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.
Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN
Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN
Opportunity
Why this could be an opportunity
11
Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 3 Nov 2026
This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.
Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [sold-comps +3.1%, £/sqft +3.2%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.8%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics8.4/40
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×0.80
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 500/mo (range 450-550)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -259/mo, -52% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity0/15
lease 48 years (under 80): most lenders refuse it - risk scores nothing; 395 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
listing_factslease 48 years remaining (advert)· as of 3 Nov 2026
4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.
Economics
What happens to your money
Price sensitivity
£71,000£109,000
The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.
Your assumptions
£95,000
At the asking price
£500/mo
Evidenced range £450-£550
5.4%
75%
Cash required
£29,800
Net cash flow
£26/mo
Cash on cash
1.0%
Score at this price
11
After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.56 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.
Evidence
Where every number comes from
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.8%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 500/mo (range 450-550)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026