The Chestnuts, London Road, Capel St. Mary, Ipswich, IP9 2JR

UPRN:100091363965Detached HouseBeds -Built 1976-1982

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band DEPC: D (58)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Chestnuts, London Road, Capel St. Mary, Ipswich, IP9 2JR

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£443,000

£399k - £487kMedium

Estimate

£443k

Range

£399k – £487k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

4.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Chestnuts earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (15/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

15/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 54

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +9.7% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +9.9%, £/sqft +9.9%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100091363965· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 23.9%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -715/mo, -48% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
110 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: -£312/mo
Cash on cash: -2.8%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100091363965Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 23.9%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£443,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield4.50%

1y Growth+32.0%

3y Growth-4.0%

5y Growth-0.3%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

3IP9 2JR

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

DC/26/04331
Discharge of Conditions Application for DC/26/02528 - Condition 4 (Wildlife enhancement strategy)
Approved
DC/26/04298
Householder Application - Construction of single storey entrance porch incorporating WC & store area.
Approved
DC/26/04223
Discharge of Conditions Application for DC/17/06318 - Condition 9 (Details of Sustainable Urban Drainage System Components)
Approved

View Planning Timeline