1 St Matthews Court, Forge Lane, Northwood, HA6 1BA

UPRN:10009948653Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

1 St Matthews Court, Forge Lane, Northwood, HA6 1BA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£400,000

£360k - £440kMedium

Estimate

£400k

Range

£360k – £440k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 St Matthews Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (75/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

75/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 53Bike 61

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +11.1%, £/sqft +11.1%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10009948653· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.7%· as of 7 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -642/mo, -40% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
168 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: -£242/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10009948653Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.7%Valuation edge · as of 7 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£400,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.6%

5y Growth+1.1%

10y Growth+0.6%

Last Sold Price£45,000 (2019-12-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HA6 1BA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/1742/CLPD
Certificate of Lawfulness Proposed Development: Loft conversion including hip to gable roof extension with rear juliet dormer, front/side rooflights, side window
Pending
69734/APP/2026/2519
Ground floor side and rear wrap-around extension
Pending
74971/APP/2026/2498
Details pursuant to the discharge of Conditions 6 (Water Management) of planning permission ref. 74971/APP/2025/780, dated 14-11-25 (Erection of 1no. detached bungalow, with associated parking (including installation of new vehicular crossover), landscaping, cycle parking and refuse storage.)
Pending

View Planning Timeline