38 Ty-Fry Gardens, Rumney, Cardiff, CF3 3NQ

UPRN:100100108382Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

38 Ty-Fry Gardens, Rumney, Cardiff, CF3 3NQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£350,000

£333k - £368kHigh

Estimate

£350k

Range

£333k – £368k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

4.32%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Ty-Fry Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

25/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -42.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -129.4%, £/sqft -129.0%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 11 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100108382· as of 11 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 24.5%· as of 11 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)· as of 11 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -916/mo, -51% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
404 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£441/mo
Cash on cash: -3.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.07 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100108382Valuation edge · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 24.5%Valuation edge · as of 11 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)Rental economics · as of 11 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£350,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield4.32%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+3.0%

10y Growth+5.3%

Last Sold Price£278,000 (2022-05-27)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF3 3NQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02351/FUL
Demolition of former glass shop and construction of two bedroom dwelling
Pending
26/02268/HSE
Proposed single storey rear extension, Proposed front porch. Internal alterations.
Pending
26/02111/FUL
Change of Use of Units 22-25, from Sui Generis Dog Day Care Facility to Class B1/B2/B8 Employment Use
Pending

View Planning Timeline