25 Penymorfa, Llangunnor, Carmarthen, SA31 2NP

UPRN:100100145603Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

25 Penymorfa, Llangunnor, Carmarthen, SA31 2NP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£413,000

£392k - £434kHigh

Estimate

£413k

Range

£392k – £434k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,650

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,650

Yield

5.14%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

25 Penymorfa earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 81/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

81/ 100

High

Crime Score

31/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 12 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +6.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100145603· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics1/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1800)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -541/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 12 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 56 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
196 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£289,000£442,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£385,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,650/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £126,050
Net cash flow: -£157/mo
Cash on cash: -1.5%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.27 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100145603Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1800)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 12 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 56 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£413,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,650

Gross Yield5.14%

1y Growth-11.6%

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£267,000 (2019-08-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA31 2NP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/11609
Application for Tree Works to TPO/W9 : T185, T186 and T187 - Beech - North side - reduce circumference of the crown by 2.5 metres. East side - reduce circumference of the crown by 1.5 metres. Remove all branches which are within 1.5 metres of the two telephone lines. Reduce the dead and decaying branch in the lower crown on the north side of 0185 to 0.5 metres from its point of origin. Coronet cut the remaining stump. Lift crown to 4.5 metres above ground level. To avoid large pruning wounds this crown lifting should be undertaken by only removing secondary branches
Pending
PL/11554
Conversion of an agricultural barn outbuilding to a residential dwelling
Pending
PL/11475
T1; Monkey puzzle - Remove deadwood over 25mm in diameter in crown and raise limbs over road to 5.2m within The Parade / Esplanade, Carmarthen conservation area
Approved

View Planning Timeline