Tynewydd Farm, Llanfihangel-ar-Arth, Pencader, SA39 9JY

UPRN:100100146715Detached HouseBeds -Built before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (87)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Tynewydd Farm, Llanfihangel-ar-Arth, Pencader, SA39 9JY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

7 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£517,000

£491k - £543kHigh

Estimate

£517k

Range

£491k – £543k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

3.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Tynewydd Farm earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 73/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

73/ 100

High

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +14.9% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100146715· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.0%; range width penalty ×0.47
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 900-1300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,178/mo, -107% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 119 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
26 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£330,000£506,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£440,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £145,300
Net cash flow: -£723/mo
Cash on cash: -6.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.74 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100146715Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 900-1300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 900-1300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 119 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£517,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield3.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.3%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£309,000 (2007-02-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA39 9JY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/09280
Agricultural shed for storage of hay, fodder and machinery
Approved
PL/07304
Typical agricultural building
Approved
PL/01914
Porch to rear of existing dwelling
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership79.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2007-02-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,774

Population Density41 /km²

Owner Occupied68%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 58%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Cae'r Felin Community School
1.3 mi
-
Ysgol Gynradd Wirfoddol Llanllwni
2.9 mi
-
Ysgol Gynradd Brynsaron
4.3 mi
-
Ysgol Wirfoddol Penboyr
5.4 mi
-

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Greenhill Cottage
-
£132k
-
Tynewydd Cottage
-
£180k
-
Maes-Yr-Hedydd
-
£380k
-
Greenhill Cottage
-
£86k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN