22 Ar y Bryn, Pembrey, Burry Port, SA16 0AX

UPRN:100100175284Detached House7 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: F (32)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

22 Ar y Bryn, Pembrey, Burry Port, SA16 0AX

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£547,000

£520k - £575kHigh

Estimate

£547k

Range

£520k – £575k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

4.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

22 Ar y Bryn earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100175284· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2150)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,017/mo, -52% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
92 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£2,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£506/mo
Cash on cash: -3.3%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.05 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100175284Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2150)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2150)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£547,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield4.25%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+4.2%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA16 0AX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/11511
Variation of Condition 2 on PL/08569 (Roof Alteration)
Pending
PL/11382
Propose to install a annex in the rear side garden of our property for my mother to use in as she now requires additional space and care needs
Approved
PL/11117
Proposed front access and rear parking to existing dwelling
Approved

View Planning Timeline