11 Carlisle Avenue, Rhyl, LL18 3UD

UPRN:100100196848Detached Bungalow2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (57)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 5mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£180,000

£171k - £189kHigh

Estimate

£180k

Range

£171k – £189k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£800

£750 - £900

Monthly

£800

Yield

4.92%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Carlisle Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

31/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -8.3% (HIGH), sold-comps -6.0%, £/sqft -5.9%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100196848· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 22.4%· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.9%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -365/mo, -46% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
456 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£146,000£224,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£195,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£800/mo

Evidenced range £750-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £61,200
Net cash flow: -£104/mo
Cash on cash: -2.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.22 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100196848Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 22.4%Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 800/mo (range 750-900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£180,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£800

Gross Yield4.92%

1y Growth-10.4%

3y Growth+1.9%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£107,500 (2017-02-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LL18 3UD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

45/2026/0215/PC
Codi adeilad gardd y tu ol i'r annedd (cais ol-weithredol) / Erection of a garden building to rear of dwelling (retrospective application)
Pending
45/2026/0190/HH
Codi porth mynediad blaen / Erection of a front entrance porch
Approved
45/2026/0189/PC
Gosod Pwmp Gwres Ffynhonnell Aer yng nghefn yr annedd (cais ol-weithredol) / Installation of an Air Source Heat Pump to rear of dwelling (retrospective application)
Pending

View Planning Timeline