6 Neddern Way, Caldicot, NP26 4NJ

UPRN:100100256129Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£417,000

£396k - £438kHigh

Estimate

£417k

Range

£396k – £438k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,400

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,400

Yield

3.73%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

6 Neddern Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

41/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -10.3%, £/sqft -10.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100256129· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 22.6%· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.7%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1550)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -999/mo, -71% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
255 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,400/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£550/mo
Cash on cash: -4.4%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.92 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100256129Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 22.6%Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1550)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£417,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,400

Gross Yield3.73%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.0%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+4.9%

Last Sold Price£247,000 (2016-11-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP26 4NJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/01271
Addition of two air conditioning units to the house, one on each side elevation. One above first floor height due to space restrictions.
Pending
DM/2026/01138
Discharge of Condition from consent DM/2023/01030 - Condition 12 - External Finishes (Materials Schedule)
Approved
DM/2026/01106
Rear single storey extension and detached garden building.
Pending

View Planning Timeline