19 Winsford Grove, Gilwern, Abergavenny, NP7 0RL

UPRN:100100269161Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band FEPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

19 Winsford Grove, Gilwern, Abergavenny, NP7 0RL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£447,000

£402k - £491kMedium

Estimate

£447k

Range

£402k – £491k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

4.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

19 Winsford Grove earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.7% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -4.7%, £/sqft -4.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100269161· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 19.3%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -926/mo, -62% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
259 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£480/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.99 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100269161Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 19.3%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£447,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield4.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP7 0RL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/24914/FUL
Installation of solar PV panels to the side elevation.
Pending
26/24955/FUL
Two storey side extension and all associated works.
Pending
26/24956/DISCON
Discharge of condition 3 (external materials) pursuant to planning permission 26/24615/FUL
Pending

View Planning Timeline