9 Black Lion Green, Hay-on-Wye, Hereford, HR3 5AR

UPRN:100100319561Semi-Detached PropertyBeds -Built before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: E (54)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 3mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

9 Black Lion Green, Hay-on-Wye, Hereford, HR3 5AR

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£418,000

£335k - £502kLow

Estimate

£418k

Range

£335k – £502k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

3.39%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

9 Black Lion Green earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.4%; range width penalty ×0.70
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,041/mo, -87% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
79 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£425,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £140,050
Net cash flow: -£604/mo
Cash on cash: -5.2%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.84 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1350)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£418,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield3.39%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.8%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£180,000 (2003-03-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2HR3 5AR

Approval Rate

50%12mo

Development

low

26/24985/DISCON
Discharge of condition 10 (archaeology) pursuant to Listed Building Consent 19/17051/LBC
Pending
26/24977/DISCON
Discharge of condition 7 (Slate details) pursuant to Listed Building Consent 26/24708/LBC
Pending
26/24964/LBC
Listed Building Consent for structural repairs and alterations to the roof and floor structure: including the introduction of new supporting members. Removal of associated finishes and fixtures to allow exploratory opening-up works and repairs, with reinstatement on completion.
Pending

View Planning Timeline