19 Smiths Road, Birchgrove, Swansea, SA7 9DY

UPRN:100100390697Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

19 Smiths Road, Birchgrove, Swansea, SA7 9DY

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£434,000

£412k - £456kHigh

Estimate

£434k

Range

£412k – £456k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

5.38%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

19 Smiths Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100390697· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.7/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -532/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
147 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£326,000£500,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£435,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £143,550
Net cash flow: -£118/mo
Cash on cash: -1.0%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.33 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100390697Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£434,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield5.38%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+4.6%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA7 9DY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/1574/FUL
Proposed external and internal alterations to form a WC
Pending
2026/1561/FUL
Rear two storey extension
Pending
2026/1204/FUL
Rear balcony
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership52.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,091

Population Density510 /km²

Owner Occupied91%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 58%65+ 26%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Birchgrove Primary
0.1 mi
-
Birchgrove Comprehensive School
0.4 mi
-
Ysgol Gymraeg Lon Las
0.9 mi
-
Talycopa Primary School
1.0 mi
-

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

58 Smiths Road
-
£221k
-
64 Smiths Road
-
£175k
-
30 Smiths Road
-
£12k
-
54 Smiths Road
-
£173k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN