Arwel, Gilfach Road, Penmaenmawr, LL34 6HU

UPRN:100100441992Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (59)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Arwel, Gilfach Road, Penmaenmawr, LL34 6HU

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£299,000

£284k - £314kHigh

Estimate

£299k

Range

£284k – £314k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£650 - £900

Monthly

£750

Yield

3.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Arwel earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100441992· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.0%; range width penalty ×0.53
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 650-900)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -844/mo, -113% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 130 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
45 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £650-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: -£493/mo
Cash on cash: -6.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.74 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100441992Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 650-900)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 650-900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 130 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£299,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield3.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.8%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+3.2%

Last Sold Price£74,000 (2002-11-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LL34 6HU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

0/53724
Proposed New Residential Unit to Ground Floor Level
Pending
0/53670
To reduce 1 x Sycamore to height of 3.2m as annotated on the supporting photograph
Approved
0/53705
Approval of Condition nos. 3 (Materials, pedestrian access, gates and boundary treatments and parking areas), 7 (Great Crested Newt Method Statement), 11 (Landscaping and Biodiversity Mitigation) and 12 (Glamping Pods 1-4 Car Parking) of Planning Approval 0/49903 (Change of use of land for the siting of 6no holiday pods on existing visitor site)
Pending

View Planning Timeline