4 Larch Close, Porthcawl, CF36 5AQ

UPRN:100100514407Detached Property4 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£635,000

£603k - £667kHigh

Estimate

£635k

Range

£603k – £667k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,350

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,350

Yield

4.16%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Larch Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100514407· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.2%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,263/mo, -54% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 211 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
207 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£508,500£779,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£678,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,350/mo

Evidenced range £2,100-£2,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £228,600
Net cash flow: -£661/mo
Cash on cash: -3.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.03 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100514407Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 211 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£635,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,350

Gross Yield4.16%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.5%

5y Growth+5.5%

10y Growth+5.7%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF36 5AQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

T/26/31/TPO
G1 - Sycamore - Remove saplings in areas of dense colonisation; G2 - Sycamore - Selectively thin trees of poor health and form in densely populated areas; G3 - Hazel - Coppice trees in coop 1 to begin coppice rotation.
Pending
P/26/520/FUL
Rear dormer with Juliet balcony and recessed balcony
Pending
P/26/458/FUL
Demolition of existing garage and construction of new single storey front/side and rear extension
Pending

View Planning Timeline