4 The Rise, Pant, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 2BN

UPRN:100100575203Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (59)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

4 The Rise, Pant, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 2BN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£278,000

£264k - £292kHigh

Estimate

£278k

Range

£264k – £292k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

5.64%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 The Rise earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -18.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100575203· as of 10 Nov 2026
Rental economics4.8/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1650)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -383/mo, -25% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 403 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
223 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£247,500£379,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£330,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £106,800
Net cash flow: -£41/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100575203Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1650)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 403 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£278,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield5.64%

1y Growth+3.6%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2025-05-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF48 2BN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/0237
Variation of condition 2 of outline planning permission P/16/0077 to extend the period of time for the submission of the reserved matters for a residential scheme comprising 21 self build plots with associated highway works.
Pending
P/26/0236
Change of use from 4 bedroom dwelling to 4 affordable self contained flats, to include rear extension and refurbishment works.
Pending
P/26/0211
Discharge of conditions 3 (Landscaping), 7 (Boundary treatments) and 10 (public sewer diversion) of planning permission P/25/0253
Conditions

View Planning Timeline