29 Francis Street, Dowlais, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 3SE

UPRN:100100576299End Terrace HouseBeds -Built 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

29 Francis Street, Dowlais, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 3SE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£105,000

£84k - £126kLow

Estimate

£105k

Range

£84k – £126k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£800

£750 - £850

Monthly

£800

Yield

13.71%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

29 Francis Street earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

24/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics38/40
gross yield 13.7%; range width penalty ×0.95; the estimate this rent rides on sits 33% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 33% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin20.3/30
stressed cash flow +163/mo, +20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
223 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£69,999

At the asking price

Monthly rent£800/mo

Evidenced range £750-£850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £22,300
Net cash flow: £318/mo
Cash on cash: 17.1%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 3.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 33% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£105,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£800

Gross Yield13.71%

1y Growth-3.3%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£41,000 (2005-10-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF48 3SE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/0237
Variation of condition 2 of outline planning permission P/16/0077 to extend the period of time for the submission of the reserved matters for a residential scheme comprising 21 self build plots with associated highway works.
Pending
P/26/0236
Change of use from 4 bedroom dwelling to 4 affordable self contained flats, to include rear extension and refurbishment works.
Pending
P/26/0211
Discharge of conditions 3 (Landscaping), 7 (Boundary treatments) and 10 (public sewer diversion) of planning permission P/25/0253
Conditions

View Planning Timeline