39 Falcon Drive, Neath, SA11 3SG

UPRN:100100604126Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£247,000

£234k - £259kHigh

Estimate

£247k

Range

£234k – £259k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

6.19%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

39 Falcon Drive earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100604126· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.1/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1300)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -234/mo, -19% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 382 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
374 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£182,000£279,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£242,500

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £76,400
Net cash flow: £47/mo
Cash on cash: 0.7%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.53 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100604126Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1300)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1300)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£247,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield6.19%

1y Growth-39.0%

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+4.0%

10y Growth+5.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA11 3SG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P2026/0622
Proposed lawful development certificate for a single storey rear extension
Pending
P2026/0444
Installation of additional fencing surrounding sports pitches and associated works.
Pending
P2026/0325
Proposed garage conversion in addition to front porch extension (amended plans in addition to description of works).
Approved

View Planning Timeline