22 Aspen Way, Newport, NP20 6LB

UPRN:100100648548Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£209,000

£198k - £219kHigh

Estimate

£209k

Range

£198k – £219k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

7.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

22 Aspen Way earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

47/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +13.9% (HIGH), sold-comps +10.4%, £/sqft +10.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100648548· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.2%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics17.3/40
gross yield 7.3%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -81/mo, -7% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 59 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
489 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£135,000£207,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£180,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £56,400
Net cash flow: £154/mo
Cash on cash: 3.3%
Score at this price: 34

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.81 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100648548Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.2%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 59 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£209,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield7.33%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price£160,000 (2021-07-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP20 6LB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0830
LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE (PROPOSED) FOR A SINGLE STOREY REAR FLAT ROOF EXTENSION
Pending
26/0788
WORKS TO 1NO. OAK TREE (POLLARDING) PROTECTED BY TPO 20/2008
Pending
26/0786
S73 APPLICATION TO VARY 1 (APPROVED PLANS) OF 20/0496 WORKS OF EXCAVATION AND CONSTRUCTION OF RETAINING WALLS TO FACILITATE THE PROVISION OF A GROUND FLOOR GARAGE AND STORE WITH THE GARAGE ROOF TO BE USED AS A RAISED PATIO AREA. CONVERSION OF EXISTING GARAGE. PROVISION OF A NEW ACCESS ONTO GROVE PARK DRIVE. RETENTION OF ACCESS STEPS AND FENCING FACING ONTO GROVE PARK DRIVE. AMENDMENTS INCLUDE REVISED BOUNDARY TREATMENT, REMOVAL OF LANTERN LIGHT, ADDITIONAL BALLUSTRADING AND A HANDRAIL TO PATIO AREA
Pending

View Planning Timeline