16 Southville Road, Newport, NP20 4LT

UPRN:100100686998Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£349,000

£314k - £384kMedium

Estimate

£349k

Range

£314k – £384k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,850

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,850

Yield

5.92%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Southville Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100686998· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.8/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1700-1950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -352/mo, -19% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 52 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
489 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,850/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: £15/mo
Cash on cash: 0.1%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.46 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100686998Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1700-1950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1850/mo (range 1700-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 52 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£349,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,850

Gross Yield5.92%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price£340,000 (2022-07-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP20 4LT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0846
DEMOLITION OF EXISTING RETAINING WALL, WIDENING OF DRIVEWAY TO CREATE A LARGER PARKING AREA AND CONSTRUCTION OF NEW RETAINING WALL
Pending
26/0837
CONSTRUCTION OF A DROPPED KERB TO CREATE A NEW VEHICULAR ACCESS AND DRIVEWAY
Pending
26/0821
ERECTION OF BOUNDARY FENCE (RETROSPECTIVE)
Pending

View Planning Timeline