59 Swallow Way, Duffryn, Newport, NP10 8WL

UPRN:100100689335Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

59 Swallow Way, Duffryn, Newport, NP10 8WL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£169,000

£161k - £178kHigh

Estimate

£169k

Range

£161k – £178k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£700 - £800

Monthly

£750

Yield

4.74%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

59 Swallow Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

40/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -12.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100689335· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -380/mo, -51% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 52 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
280 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£142,500£218,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£190,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £700-£800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £59,600
Net cash flow: -£122/mo
Cash on cash: -2.5%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.17 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100689335Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 52 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£169,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield4.74%

1y Growth-25.3%

3y Growth+3.1%

5y Growth+3.5%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP10 8WL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0754
DEMOLITION OF SINGLE STOREY STRUCTURE AND ERECTION OF NEW REAR AND SIDE EXTENSION, GARAGE CONVERSION TO HABITABLE SPACE
Pending
26/0681
PARTIAL DISCHARGE OF CONDITIONS 2 (TREE PROTECTION PLAN) AND 3 (ANPR COLUMN PAINT COLOUR) OF 26/0172 INSTALLATION OF 1NO. AUTOMATIC NUMBER PLATE RECOGNITION CAMERA MOUNTED ON NEW CAMERA COLUMN, REMOVAL OF 2NO. PAYMENT TERMINALS AND REPLACEMENT WITH NEW ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED POWER AND DATA CONNECTIONS AND TRENCHES
Approved
26/0599
PROPOSED LIGHT GREY POWDER COATED METAL LOUVRE SCREENS AND KITCHEN ROOF PLANT AND AMENDMENTS TO EXTENSION ELEVATIONS
Conditions

View Planning Timeline