The Sycamores, Usk Road, Caerleon, Newport, NP18 1LP

UPRN:100100692071Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Sycamores, Usk Road, Caerleon, Newport, NP18 1LP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£887,000

£710k - £1.06MLow

Estimate

£887k

Range

£710k – £1.06M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,350

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,350

Yield

4.02%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Sycamores earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

15/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [sold-comps -39.7%, £/sqft -39.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.1%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3700)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,886/mo, -56% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 45 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
177 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£750,000£1,150,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,000,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,350/mo

Evidenced range £3,000-£3,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £345,050
Net cash flow: -£1,056/mo
Cash on cash: -3.7%
Score at this price: 9

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.99 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.1%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3700)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 45 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£887,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,350

Gross Yield4.02%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+2.3%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£850,000 (2022-09-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2NP18 1LP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0731
REPLACE ROOF COVERING,FASCIA BOARDS AND RAIN WATER GUTTERING
Pending
26/0726
CHANGE OF USE OF THE EXISTING BARN FROM AGRICULTURAL/STORAGE USE TO SHORT-TERM HOLIDAY ACCOMMODATION WITHIN CLASS C6, INSTALLATION OF FIRST FLOOR BALCONY AND OTHER ASSOCIATED WORKS
Pending
26/0723
CHANGE OF USE OF GROUND FLOOR COMMERCIAL UNIT FROM RETAIL (USE CLASS A1) TO FINANCIAL AND PROFESSIONAL SERVICES (USE CLASS A2)
Pending

View Planning Timeline