123 Gelli Road, Gelli, Pentre, CF41 7UQ

UPRN:100100728360Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£204,000

£184k - £225kMedium

Estimate

£204k

Range

£184k – £225k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

11.66%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

123 Gelli Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +14.2% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -29.6%, £/sqft -29.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100728360· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics40/40
gross yield 11.7%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1650-1800)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin22.4/30
stressed cash flow +381/mo, +22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
98 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £157,500

£131,000£201,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£174,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £54,785
Net cash flow: £586/mo
Cash on cash: 12.8%
Score at this price: 75

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.88 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100728360Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1650-1800)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1650-1800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £157,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£204,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield11.66%

1y Growth+19.5%

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+3.5%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£164,000 (2024-02-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF41 7UQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0842/FUL
Proposed double and single storey rear extensions
Pending
26/0810/FUL
Change of use of ground floor from retail (Use Class A1) to a coffee shop and bakery (Use Class A3)
Pending
26/0743/FUL
Single storey rear extension and a first floor rear extension with some internal alterations together with minor rear garden alterations.
Pending

View Planning Timeline