10 Heol-y-Coed, Nantgarw, Cardiff, CF15 7UE

UPRN:100100765270-Beds -Built 1930-1949

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

10 Heol-y-Coed, Nantgarw, Cardiff, CF15 7UE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£240,000

£216k - £264kMedium

Estimate

£240k

Range

£216k – £264k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,050

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,050

Yield

5.04%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Heol-y-Coed earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

36/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -4.2% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100765270· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.3/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -413/mo, -39% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 74 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
187 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,050/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: -£117/mo
Cash on cash: -1.8%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.24 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100765270Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 74 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£240,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,050

Gross Yield5.04%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+5.5%

5y Growth+3.8%

10y Growth+4.9%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF15 7UE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0921/LDO
Extension to Block E to provide additional brickwork workshop space at ground floor level and electrical workshop space at first floor level.
Pending
26/0829/TPO
Remove INNS from the TPO protected area of Coed Caedyrys and the INNS report provided by Wildlife Trust of South and West Wales.
Pending
26/0821/FUL
Change of use from an office (Use Class B1) to a children's day nursery (Use Class D1).
Pending

View Planning Timeline