2 Rose Gardens, Croesyceiliog, Cwmbran, NP44 2HN

UPRN:100100807610Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

2 Rose Gardens, Croesyceiliog, Cwmbran, NP44 2HN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£172,000

£163k - £180kHigh

Estimate

£172k

Range

£163k – £180k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

8.53%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

2 Rose Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -10.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -18.0%, £/sqft -18.2%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100807610· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 24.6%· as of 11 Nov 2026
Rental economics28.2/40
gross yield 8.5%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1300-1400)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin4.5/30
stressed cash flow +61/mo, +4% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
377 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £157,000

£142,500£218,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£190,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,300-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £59,600
Net cash flow: £293/mo
Cash on cash: 5.9%
Score at this price: 46

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.11 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100807610Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 24.6%Valuation edge · as of 11 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1300-1400)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1300-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £157,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£172,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield8.53%

1y Growth+12.0%

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth+0.9%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£156,000 (2023-02-27)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP44 2HN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/P/0464/TPO
Application to prune TPO Oak tree to reduce the crown by 3 m.
Conditions
26/P/0450/FUL
Proposed alterations to car park to provide canopy, EV charging zone, jet wash bays and valet bays and associated works including sub-station enclosure, LV panel, meter cabinet and plant room
Pending
26/P/0438/CND
Discharge of condition 6 (protection of the public sewer) of planning permission 24/P/0252/FUL for an extension to the filling station shop.
Approved

View Planning Timeline