Cwm Cottage, Church Lane, Baglan, Port Talbot, SA12 8SR

UPRN:100100991737Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Cwm Cottage, Church Lane, Baglan, Port Talbot, SA12 8SR

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£551,000

£524k - £579kHigh

Estimate

£551k

Range

£524k – £579k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,050

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,050

Yield

6.37%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Cwm Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 12 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -4.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100991737· as of 14 Nov 2026
Rental economics9.9/40
gross yield 6.4%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2850-3300)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -314/mo, -10% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 12 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 142 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
257 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£431,000£661,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,050/mo

Evidenced range £2,850-£3,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: £171/mo
Cash on cash: 1.1%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.57 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100100991737Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2850-3300)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 12 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3050/mo (range 2850-3300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 142 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£551,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,050

Gross Yield6.37%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.9%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+5.7%

Last Sold Price£80,000 (1996-07-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA12 8SR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P2026/0696
Retrospective application for siting a parcel locker
Pending
P2026/0688
Proposed Lawful Development Certificate for a side boundary fence
Approved
P2026/0632
Change of use of land for the siting of a mobile coffee trailer (Use Class A1)
Pending

View Planning Timeline