38 Heol y Bryn, Upper Tumble, Llanelli, SA14 6DR

UPRN:100100993439Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (56)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

38 Heol y Bryn, Upper Tumble, Llanelli, SA14 6DR

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£160,000

£128k - £192kLow

Estimate

£160k

Range

£128k – £192k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£800 - £900

Monthly

£850

Yield

6.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Heol y Bryn earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics13.9/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -138/mo, -16% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
338 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£149,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £800-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £46,785
Net cash flow: £82/mo
Cash on cash: 2.1%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.68 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£160,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield6.80%

1y Growth-12.9%

3y Growth+4.2%

5y Growth+4.2%

10y Growth+4.9%

Last Sold Price£48,000 (2012-06-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA14 6DR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/11604
1) 1 Oak tree – Reduce by 3m 2) 1 Willow by garage heavily clad with ivy – Remove 3) 1 Ash – Remove
Pending
PL/11523
Construction of 1 residential dwelling with detached garage and associated works (amended scheme to that previously approved under PL/07487)
Pending
PL/11512
Discharge of Condition 7 on PL/09942 (Stage 1 & 2 Risk Assessment, Preliminary Risk Assessment, GIR, Remedial Options)
Pending

View Planning Timeline